Posts Tagged ‘Economists’

Five Signs It’s Time to Renegotiate Your Mortgage

Wednesday, October 26th, 2011


  1. You can get a new rate that’s at least 0.3 of a percentage point lower than your current rate. In the past, the rule was it wasn’t worth breaking your mortgage for a new one unless the new rate was at least two percentage points lower, but with mortgage rates at historical lows, even a small drop of 30 basis points can mean paying hundreds less every month.
  2. You want to pay off your house sooner. You can refinance to shorten the length of your mortgage and pay less in interest over the long run. Refinance at a lower rate, and you’ll save even more.
  3. You have a lot of credit card debt. If you have enough equity in your home, you can refinance and roll your credit card debt and other loans into your mortgage. That can mean a drop in the interest rate from 19% to 3% and thousands of dollars of savings.
  4. You want to convert a variable-rate mortgage into a fixed-rate mortgage. Many economists say interest rates will be heading up soon. If you want to lock in, now’s the time. As of mid-November, the five-year fixed rate was only 3.39% – close to its lowest point ever and just 39 basis points higher than the variable rate.
  5. You can’t afford your payments. Lenders don’t like foreclosing on homes, so they’ll often help you refinance instead. Depending on the kind of mortgage you have and the amount of equity you have  in your home, you may be able to extend the term of your mortgage loan and reduce your monthly payments.

 

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Fine Tuning

Monday, September 12th, 2011


In the heydey of Keynesian fiscal policy in the 1950s and 1960s many economists throughout the world advocated the use of fiscal policy to remove even minor fluctuations in national income around its full-employment level. These economists felt that G and T could be changed frequently and by relatively small amounts to hold national income almost exactly at its full-employment level. When this is attempted, fiscal policy is said to be used to “fine tune” the economy.

The feasibility of fine tuning depends on, among other things, the length of the so-called decision lag-the lag between perceiving a problem and getting a decision to initiate these.
 

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The Bank Rate

Thursday, July 28th, 2011


The “floating” Bank Rate was set each week at one-quarter of one percentage point above the rate of interest on Treasury Bills. Thus, if the rate of interest on Treasury Bills was 11.25 percent, the Bank Rate for that week would be 11.50 percent. As a result, the Bank Rate would change each week, depending on changes in short-term interest rates in general and in the interest rate on Treasury Bills in particular.

This does not mean, however, that the Bank Rate merely follows short-term interest rates and has lost its significance as a signal regarding the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy. The Bank of Canada is still in a position to influence the interest rate on Treasury Bills and thus the Bank Rate, and the weekly movements of the Bank Rate and the Bank of Canada’s efforts to influence it are regarded as significant by economists and financial observers. Since many interest rates are based on the Bank Rate, changes in the Bank Rate are usually forerunners of changes in interest rates on loans to consumers and businesses.

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Inflation since the early 1970′s

Sunday, July 10th, 2011


As we have seen, the 8 to 10 – percent annual inflation rates of the period since the early 1970′s have been dramatically higher than the inflation rates of 2 to 5 – percent characteristic of the 1950′s and 1960′s. Such rapid inflation rates have caused great concern among the public, as well as considerable confusion as to their causes. Generally, it is reasonable to say, that the real causes of this severe inflation were quite different from what the public believed to be its causes.

While the period since the early 1970′s has seen exceptional (and well-publicized) increases in oil, energy and food prices, as well as huge income gains by many groups, these were not the basic causes of the severe inflation, but rather contributing factors to it. In the view of most economists, the basic causes of the rapid inflation of the 1970′s lay in exceptional increases in aggregate demand, which simply outran the economy’s capacity to produce, thus generating the worst inflation in many years. Underlying these however, because the economy and the appropriate money supply generally grow from year to year, it is not often appropriate for the Bank of Canada to actually reduce the money supply, except for quite short periods. The question, rather, is generally how rapidly the money supply should be allowed to increase. When the Bank of Canada is seeking to slow down the rate of growth of the money supply by restraining the lending activities of the banks, these policies are also generally described as “tight money policies.”

Thus, the primary tool of monetary policy is the open-market operations of the Bank of Canada, in which purchases and sales of bonds by the Bank of Canada increase and decrease the banks’ cash reserves, and thus the money supply. The Bank of Canada, however, does have other methods of influencing the volume of lending by the banks and thus the money supply, some of which are discussed in the following sections.

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Government Policies to Combat Inflation

Tuesday, May 3rd, 2011


In the “villain theories” that portray big business and labor unions as the root causes of inflation, controls seem a logical solution to inflation. Also, in controls, many people see an apparently simple solution to the perplexing and frustrating problem of inflation: people don’t like rising prices and big wage increases (that other people get), so why not just outlaw them, that is, stop inflation by making it illegal. Other people disagree strongly with controls on the grounds that such a policy involves unwarranted interference by governments in the rights of private citizens.

The vast majority of economists are opposed to the use of wage-price controls as an anti-inflation policy (except in unusual circumstances, as described later) on the grounds that controls are not effective. More specifically, this opposition to controls is based on two facts: first, controls attack the symptoms of inflation rather than its causes, and therefore cannot succeed; second, controls tend to generate negative side effects on the economy. History abounds with examples of wage-price control programs that have failed because of these problems, which are explained in more detail in the following sections.

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Combating demand-pull inflation

Monday, April 18th, 2011


To attack the basic cause of inflation, the government must restrain the growth of aggregate demand for goods and services, by using its monetary and fiscal policies.

Monetary policy

To combat inflation, the Bank of Canada should should impose a tight-money policy consisting of higher interest rates and reduced availability of credit. By slowing the growth of the money supply, such a policy will ease the pressures of excess demand on prices and thus help to restrain inflation. It is generally accepted among economists that no anti-inflation policy can succeed unless it includes control of the rate of growth of the money supply. Thus, whatever else is done to curb inflation, monetary restraint is essential, because if money is created too rapidly, its value will decline (because prices of goods and services will rise).

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