Posts Tagged ‘Budget Surplus’
Friday, January 20th, 2012
In Chapter 9, we saw how the federal government’s Department of Finance uses fiscal policy to influence the level of aggregate demand in the economy. Since the monetary policy of the Bank of Canada discussed in this chapter also influences aggregate demand, we should review briefly how monetary and fiscal policies can interact so as to affect the performance of the economy.
During a recession, when aggregate demand is inadequate, a budget deficit (achieved through increased government spending and/or tax reductions) is usually combined with an easy-money policy consisting of lower interest rates and increased availability of loans. The objective of these policies is to increase the demand for goods and services by households and businesses. This increase in spending will be added to by the respending effect of the multiplier, and will be in large part financed by increases in the money supply resulting from increased bank lending. Also, it is possible that increased consumer spending may cause businesses to increase their investment spending (the accelerator effect), a process which would also be financed by the increased money supply through bank lending, encouraged by reductions in interest on loans. The overall result would be to stimulate output and employment in the economy.
During a period of inflation, aggregate demand for goods and services is so high that the supply of them cannot keep pace, with the result that prices rice with unusual rapidity. To combat inflation, a combination of a budget surplus (tax revenues in excess of government spending) and tight money, with loans relatively scarce and interest rates high, is appropriate. The objective of these policies is to depress the demand for goods and services, so as to relieve the pressure of excess demand on the supply and on the prices of goods and services. Government spending will be held down, while tax increases and high interest rates will restrain borrowing and spending by consumers and businesses. With total demand depressed in these ways, the rate of inflation will tend to decrease.
By combining the the fiscal policy of the Department of Finance and the monetary policy of the Bank of Canada in these ways, the effect can be considerably stronger than if either were used by itself.
In summary, then, tight-money policies are used to combat inflation by depressing the level of aggregate demand. While these policies will slow down inflation, they also tend to slow down the economy and increase unemployment, and they have particularly severe effects upon certain industries.
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Thursday, September 15th, 2011
The extra government expenditure is a new injection and income will rise until a matching flow of withdrawals has been generated. Since taxes are only one of several withdrawals, it follows that the rise in taxes must be less than the rise in government expenditure.
It is not clear that we can talk not only about the actual (or “current”) budget deficit or surplus at the present level of national income, but also about the potential budget deficit or surplus at any other level of national income, given current rates of taxes and expenditures. The potential deficit or surplus of particular interest is the one that would occur if the economy were at full employment; it is called the full-employment balance. Notice that the current deficit will be larger than the full-employment deficit for any economy whose current income is less than full-employment income; the reason is that as income rises, the yield from a given set of tax rates rises and hence the deficit falls.
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Friday, April 29th, 2011
However, cubs on demand and the money supply may not always in themselves be sufficient. We have seen that, in addition to demand pull inflationary pressures, there are also cost-push forces, and that these can be particularly powerful and troublesome if “inflation psychology” is strong among the public. Thus, if output per worker-hour is rising only 1 percent per year, and workers seek – and get – wage increases of 10 percent per year in their attempts to protect themselves from inflation, production costs (and prices) are bound to rise quite rapidly. Thus, while stressing the vital role of monetary policy, Beigie states that “monetary policy alone is unlikely to cure inflationary pressures originating in excessive income expectation…”, and adds that “it is imperative that expectations be kept in line with potentials.”
Another way to develop a budget surplus would be to increase taxes. In theory, an increase in taxes (for example, personal income taxes) helps to combat inflation by reducing consumer spending and thus aggregate demand. On the other hand, such a tax increase could also prove largely self-defeating. If many wage-earners succeeded in offsetting it by increasing their incomes more rapidly, causing additional cost-push pressures on prices.
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Thursday, April 21st, 2011
To dampen aggregate demand in the economy, the federal government can use a budget surplus, with government expenditures less than tax revenues.
The most likely approach to a budget surplus is for the government to curb the growth of (or even reduce) government expenditures. Such curbs on government spending will be especially helpful in slowing inflation if they reduce the need for the government to increase the money supply to finance its expenditures.
*Because interest payments are one of the cost of doing business, some people believe that the way to curb inflation is to reduce interest rates rather than to increase them through a tight-money policy. While lower interest rates would have a slight cost-reducing effect on business, the easy money associated with lower interest rates would more than offset this by increasing the money supply and aggravating the problem of excess demand. In short, reducing interest rates is exactly the reverse of what is needed to combat inflation.
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Friday, March 18th, 2011
It is now clear that we can talk not only about the actual (or “current”) budget deficit or surplus at the present level of national income, but also about the potential budget deficit or surplus at any other level of national income, given current rates of taxes and expenditures. The potential deficit or surplus of particular interest is the one that would occur if the economy were at full employment; it is called the full-employment balance. This concept is elaborated in Figure 32-3. Notice that the current deficit will be larger than the full-employment deficit for any economy whose current income is less than full-employment income; the reason is that as income rises, the yield from a given set of tax rates rises and hence the deficit falls.
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Sunday, August 16th, 2009
The use of government spending and taxes (the federal budget) to influence the level of aggregate demand and thus the performance of the economy is called “fiscal policy.” To stimulate a sluggish economy with increased aggregate demand, we have seen that the government uses a budget “deficit,” with government expenditures in excess of tax revenues. A natural counterpart of this would be to use a budget “surplus,” with tax revenues greater than government spending, to combat inflation. Since inflation is basically caused by aggregate demand rising faster than output can rise, a budget “surplus” can help to ease inflation by depressing the level of aggregate demand in the economy. This and other anti-inflation policies will be considered in more detail. The third possibility regarding fiscal policy would be a “balanced budget,” in which government expenditures and tax revenues would be equal. Such a budget would be appropriate when neither unemployment nor inflation was considered unacceptably high, as the economy would not benefit from an adjustment to the level of aggregate demand.
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